Every year there are some films and actors that appear to be such overwhelming Oscar victory favorites that they could lose at the Golden Globes and be in absolutely no danger of not being nominated. For example, does anyone at this point honestly believe that Michelle Yeoh, who’s expected to win Best Actress in a Musical or Comedy for Everything Everywhere All At Once, won’t be one of the five Best Actress nominees two weeks from today? And Colin Farrell of The Banshees of Inisherin may be the only Best Actor in a Musical or Comedy nominee who doesn’t need to win tonight to be nominated for an Oscar.
But what about the rest of the pack? Who desperately needs to win at tonight’s Golden Globe Awards to keep alive what may be fading Oscar nomination hopes. Let’s take a look.
Let’s start with what is traditionally the first award of the night, Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture. Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All At Once), Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin) and, to a lesser extent, Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever) seem to be safe. Dolly DeLeon of Triangle of Sadness, however, may need to pull off an upset tonight to make the Oscar cut. And Carey Mulligan, whose She Said just isn’t doing well this awards season, really needs to win, or else, in all likelihood, no Oscar nomination. In the Best Supporting Actor race, maybe only little-known Barry Keoghan of The Banshees of Inisherin is in a “must win to get in” scenario. Keoghan’s co-star Brendon Gleeson appears to be safe, and Ke Huy Quan of EEAAO is really safe, as well he should be after dominating the critics’ group awards. As for Brad Pitt of Babylon, he could be the one member of his film’s cast to get an Oscar nomination despite its fading fortunes. Plus, Pitt won two of three previous times he was nominated in this category at the Golden Globes, so he can’t be ruled out for an upset.
In the Best Screenplay race, Sarah Polley, who wrote and directed Women Talking, may need to win here to stop her film’s awards season freefall. As for Best Director, probably every single nominee needs to win to be assured of a Best Director Oscar nomination. A clearer picture of who may be nominated for an Oscar may come with tomorrow’s Directors’ Guild nominations.
In the Best Actress categories, Cate Blanchett (Tár) and Michelle Yeoh (EEAAO) do not need to win tonight to get Oscar nominations, but people like Margot Robbie (Babylon), Ana De Armas (Blonde) and Lesley Manville (Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris) most certainly do. In the Best Actor in a Musical or Comedy Globe race, if your name is not Colin Farrell, you’d better pull off a major upset tonight to have any shot at an Oscar nomination. In the Best Actor in a Motion Picture Drama race, the nominees most in need of a win tonight are Jeremy Pope (The Inspection) and Hugh Jackman (The Son)
.Finally, in the Best Picture categories, the films most in need of a win are Babylon, Triangle of Sadness and Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery.
Below are my predictions for the Golden Globe Awards for Motion Pictures.
Best Motion Picture Drama: Elvis
Best Motion Picture Musical or Comedy: Everything Everywhere All At Once (But don’t be too shocked if The Banshees of Inisherin wins instead.)
Best Actor Drama: Austin Butler in Elvis
Best Actress Drama: Cate Blanchett in Tár
Best Actor Musical or Comedy: Colin Farrell in The Banshees of Inisherin
Best Actress Musical or Comedy: Michelle Yeoh in Everything Everywhere All At Once
Best Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan in Everything Everywhere All At Once
Best Supporting Actress: Jamie Lee Curtis in Everything Everywhere All At Once
Best Animated Feature: Pinocchio
Best Original Song: “Naatu Naatu” from RRR
Best Original Score: John Williams for The Fabelmans
Best Non-English Language Film: RRR
Best Director: Steven Spielberg for The Fabelmans
Best Screenplay: Martin McDonagh for The Banshees of Inisherin
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