Oscar Nomination Sidebar: “First Four Out” in Each Acting Race

 Here are my guesses about who was the last one in and who were the “first four out” in each acting race.  By “first four out,” I mean the actors/actresses who were the last to be eliminated in the Oscar nomination ballot counting and vote transferring process and thus came closest to actually being nominated, and I based my guesses on how the precursors went.

Best Actor

Last one in: Javier Bardem, Being the Ricardos

First four out: Mahershala Ali, Swan Song; Nicolas Cage, Pig; Leonardo DiCaprio, Don’t Look Up; Peter Dinklage, Cyrano.

Best Actress

Last one in: Penelope Cruz, Parallel Mothers

First four out: Lady Gaga, The House of Gucci; Alana Haim, Licorice Pizza; Jennifer Hudson, Respect; Rachel Zegler, West Side Story.

Best Supporting Actor

Last one in: Jesse Plemons, The Power of the Dog

First four out: Ben Affleck, The Tender Bar; Bradley Cooper, Licorice Pizza; Jamie Dornan, Belfast; Jared Leto, The House of Gucci.

Best Supporting Actress

Last one in: Jessie Buckley, The Lost Daughter

First four out: Caitriona Balfe, Belfast; Cate Blanchett, for either Don’t Look Up or Nightmare Alley; Ruth Negga, Passing; Meryl Streep, Don’t Look Up.